Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.239577 0.285519 0.337042 0.398979 0.471284 0.552892 0.651841
2025-02-16 0.167516 0.225242 0.297288 0.393282 0.517231 0.671221 0.876284
2025-02-23 0.125130 0.184341 0.264412 0.379530 0.539499 0.752420 1.055444
2025-03-02 0.095909 0.152756 0.235039 0.361125 0.547326 0.809563 1.203466
2025-03-09 0.082404 0.140270 0.228990 0.372408 0.595184 0.923865 1.439820
2025-03-16 0.066657 0.120944 0.208875 0.358398 0.601934 0.977138 1.590621
2025-03-23 0.058567 0.112440 0.204019 0.366777 0.642987 1.084670 1.832457
2025-03-30 0.051618 0.104531 0.198655 0.372984 0.680312 1.188904 2.077912
2025-04-06 0.044369 0.094693 0.188279 0.368700 0.698680 1.263035 2.280062
2025-04-13 0.038448 0.086293 0.179125 0.365029 0.717031 1.337918 2.489119
2025-04-20 0.035206 0.082699 0.178426 0.376762 0.764059 1.466106 2.800822
2025-04-27 0.034697 0.084760 0.189025 0.411410 0.857182 1.684087 3.289710
2025-05-04 0.031878 0.081503 0.188842 0.425561 0.914500 1.845657 3.697589
2025-05-11 0.027789 0.074620 0.180108 0.421172 0.935156 1.941551 3.994184
2025-05-18 0.023569 0.066557 0.167482 0.406607 0.933074 1.993052 4.210164
2025-05-25 0.019686 0.058505 0.153531 0.386994 0.917701 2.016193 4.371837
2025-06-01 0.018233 0.056521 0.153525 0.399021 0.971799 2.184249 4.837097
2025-06-08 0.015521 0.050511 0.142715 0.384088 0.964114 2.223384 5.041753
2025-06-15 0.014326 0.048573 0.141849 0.393020 1.011584 2.382954 5.510069
2025-06-22 0.013151 0.046447 0.140159 0.399635 1.054263 2.535694 5.975981
2025-06-29 0.011663 0.043026 0.134424 0.395069 1.069559 2.629157 6.320720
2025-07-06 0.010381 0.039977 0.129222 0.391156 1.085923 2.726241 6.681017
2025-07-13 0.009777 0.039073 0.130038 0.403662 1.144836 2.925909 7.287397